Thursday March 18, 2010 12:17 PM ET
SmartMoney
Published May 29, 2008  |  A A A
Daily ETF Wrap-Up by Rob Wherry (Author Archive)

Two Solar ETFs Lose Their Shine


A Department of Energy report released on Thursday said crude inventories had decreased 8.8 million barrels from the previous week. Usually, data like that will send oil prices higher. But the supply constraint was due to a problem unloading tankers in the Gulf of Mexico, not unexpected demand from consumers or businesses. Indeed, that temporary glitch and continuing concerns that prices will ease because of slowing usage caused traders to move out of this commodity. Oil finished the day down almost $4 a barrel to just over $126.

A conflicting picture of the current retail environment got even cloudier as Sears Holdings (SHLD) swung to a first-quarter loss while discount shopping chain Costco (COST) topped analysts' estimates. Bear Stearns (BSC) shareholders signed off on the company's sale to JPMorgan (JPM), ending its 85 year run on Wall Street. Meanwhile, revised data showed the economy grew slightly more than previously thought in the first quarter. While that may seem like a mixed bag, investors chose to focus on the new GDP number and the drop in oil and that, ultimately, helped stocks gain ground for the third straight trading session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 52 points to 12,645.


Merck (MRK) announced Thursday it scored not just one but two big legal victories when courts in Texas and New Jersey overturned an earlier verdict and damage award surrounding its painkiller Vioxx. That news sent the company's shares 1% higher and it also helped move health-care stocks in general. ProShares UltraShort Health Care (RXL), a fund that tries to double the results of the Dow Jones U.S. Health Care index, increased 3.8%.
For the second time this week, solar ETFs wound up in the red. These funds tend to move in line with the price of crude. As oil drops, investors fret less about finding a cheap alternative to black gold. But also weighing on solar stocks was a report that Germany, one of the world's largest solar markets, may slash the subsidies it gives to the industry. Also, a Merrill Lynch (ML) analyst downgraded SunPower (SPWR) and Evergreen Solar (ESLR), according to a Bloomberg article. Market Vectors Solar Energy (KWT) lost 6.6% and Claymore/Mac Global Solar Energy (TAN) dropped 6.5%.
Closing Time: Index Universe is reporting that Ameristock will shutter five Treasury bond ETFs that launched last year. This continues a trend of ETF closures started earlier this year when Claymore shut down 11 equity funds.
Earnings: Lions Gate Entertainment, Tiffany

Economic Data: Personal Income (8:30 a.m.), Personal Spending (8:30 a.m.), Chicago PMI (9:45 a.m.), Consumer Sentiment index (10 a.m.)

A look at how the industry's most popular ETFs did on Thursday.
10 Largest ETFs
SymbolNet AssetsPrice52 Week High52 Week LowVolume
75,056
140.19
156.39
127.71
171,754,756
47,363
76.17
85.64
67.18
9,248,924
26,329
150.8
165.39
117.49
11,915,342
NA
86.54
99.81
63.55
12,691,124
19,029
140.28
156.65
127.94
2,964,447
17,729
49.69
55.03
41.17
138,986,326
13,447
59.16
63.64
52.79
1,740,716
9,296
82.78
84.49
79.64
264,560
10,450
139.99
155.31
126.28
84,929
8,843
76.44
89.77
70.41
1,437,188

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User Comments
Posted by: Lee88778877
A follow-up to my above comment. You need to calculate the P/E yourself and not trust websites to do it for you. Different websites have P/E calculations all over the map with no consistency.

Using CNBC.COM, the earnings for Q1(08)+Q4(07)+Q3(07)+Q2(07) total $5.43 for SOLF. With the SOLF $22.80 stock price of 5/30/08, that gives a TTM P/E=4.4. Likewise, the estimated earnings for Q2(08)+Q3(08)+Q4(08)+Q1(09) totals $6.33 for a SOLF Forward 12 mos. P/E of 3.6. AOL.COM agrees with these P/E numbers but even CNBC.COM calculates a completely different P/E as does SMARTMONEY.COM

Posted by: Lee88778877
ETF's are breadbaskets of many stocks. They contain some FROTHY stocks that can hurt the ETF. However, within these ETFs are two BARGAIN solar stocks - SOLF and YGE. Both have TTM actual P/E's near 4.4 and FORWARD estimated 12 month P/E's of 3.6 and 2.4 respectively. Their profits are growing so fast that their price hasn't kept up. This is a great opportunity for high gains with a FIRST CALL target price of $138 for SOLF and $234 for YGE. Check out the fundamentals of these stocks ! This data is accumulated for AOL.com and CNBC.com websites. I hold long positions in these two as well as many other individual solar, wind, geothermal, and natural gas stocks.
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