Monday November 23, 2009 2:17 AM ET
SmartMoney
Published October 30, 2008  |  A A A
Tradecraft by Jonathan Hoenig (Author Archive)

Creating Jobs Is Job of Private Sector

Support is building in Washington for a second stimulus bill, with politicians from both parties offering proposals they believe would put the much beleaguered economy back on track. For many like Gov. John Corzine, the Democratic leader of New Jersey, that means spending on infrastructure. Appearing in front of a House committee, Corzine said, "Let's put people to work, build roads, bridges, tunnels, schools, wastewater treatment systems, even a 21st century commitment to build alternative energy capacity and implement carbon abatement policies."

Indeed, as the economy weakens, government now sees its role as creating employment, putting people to work doing just about anything it can think of or afford, rather than fostering an environment for job creation. "Every billion dollars in spending on infrastructure, on highway and transportation expenditures does result in 35,000 new jobs," said Rep. John Mica (R., Fla.). What elected official wouldn't like to brag about the number of new jobs created under his watch?

A few years back you might recall the eyebrows raised in the entertainment world when rap star P. Diddy began traveling with a valet whose sole job it was to hold his umbrella or personal belongings. The notion that P. Diddy was so extravagantly wealthy that he employed someone to cart around his cellphone perfectly exemplified the rap star ethos of lavish, thoughtless and wasteful spending.

Yet that's the direction our own government seems to be heading. Amid the tsunami of bailouts for Wall Street banks, deadbeat homeowners, domestic car manufacturers and countless others, Washington is now dead set at keeping people employed doing just about anything it can think of to spend money on.

For a recent lesson in what happens to jobs created as a result of government intervention, look no further than the ethanol industry, which in 2006 rode a wave of federal subsidies and special privileges to raise hundreds of millions of dollars from investors. Plants were opened, employees were hired and billions were invested in what was supposed to be the first step in independence from fossil fuels.

Not two years later, however, economic reality has caught up with political grandstanding. Ineffective and inefficient, corn-based ethanol has yet to develop a user base as its political proponents had hoped. Stocks like Pacific Ethanol (PEIX), Aventine Renewable Energy (AVR) and VeraSun Energy (VSE) have all dropped more than 95% over the past two years. Many of those hired to work these "green jobs" will be dismissed just as fast.

Ethanol's Boom to Bust

2-year performance of PEIX, VSE, AVR
2-year performance of PEIX, VSE, AVR

The lesson is that a job is only useful when it fulfills an actual economic function. Government creating jobs solely for the purpose of keeping constituents off the unemployment line simply misallocates scarce resources and prohibits actual jobs — productive jobs — from being developed in the private sector where they belong.

Long Distance From the Far East?

After dropping to a 26-year low on Monday, Japan's Nikkei 225 index has rebounded over 26% in three days. Among those components with ADRs trading here in the U.S. is NTT DoCoMo (DCM), a large wireless communications company last mentioned in this space on Oct. 9. In less than a month, shares have rocketed some 40% from a 52-week low of $12.22 to $17 per share, making it one of the few stocks world-wide that's actually showing legitimate strength. (As a reminder, my hedge fund holds shares of NTT DoCoMo.)

Making the Call

2-month performance of NTT DoCoMo
2-month performance of NTT DoCoMo

Jonathan: Live and On Stage!

For those readers on the East Coast, I will be speaking at The Money Show in Washington, D.C., on Thursday, Nov. 6 at 9:20 a.m. My remarks will cover the suffocating "Social Safety Net" that will inevitably mushroom regardless of which candidate prevails on Tuesday. I'll also try to offer some hope as to how we might restore a culture of rugged independence in this country. Hope to see you there.

Jonathan Hoenig is managing member at Capitalistpig Hedge Fund LLC.


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User Comments
Posted by: GlennMark
We have not had free markets since the middle of the 19th Century. The Regulators create the very problems that we have today.

Free markets and individual rights can't function _with_ government regulation. This country did fine without the regulators and regulations. Common Law and legal precedent worked for decades. If someone committed a crime, you could take them to court, and if you could prove it you that you had been harmed, you could win a judgement against the criminal. If someone poisoned your well, you could have them prosecuted. If a bridge failed, you could sue the bridge builder. No regulator was necessary.

With regulations, people still get food poisoning, bridges still fail, doctors still occasionally make mistakes, and airplanes still crash. Regulations create _minimum_ standards that reward shoddy work and penalize those who do the best work. Before the era of regulations, a company's reputation for good or bad work was the only criteria ne...(Read more of this comment)
Posted by: rashomoan
I see Johnathan is guided by idealogical dogma. Forget that 'Free Markets' cannot function without government regulation, as we are being shown yet again. Forget that the military is the largest program around for hiring unskilled workers. 'No, we can't do that because it conflicts with my principles'.
Posted by: rusoe09
Finally they are talking about spending some money on infrastructure and you start bashing it. We have neglected this country's roads, bridges, water and waste water treatment, ports and so on for years. Remember the I35 bridge collapse last year. Or how about the thousands of other bridges in the country that a classified structurally deficient. How many more have to fail before you want to start fixing some of this stuff?
Posted by: abdellatom
Thanks for the facts Jonathan. This used to be a free country.

Apparently all stops are out, this government has assumed unlimited power as it rapidly accelerates this country into third world debtor status. This government imposed crisis and the quack doctor cure is destroying what's left of the great American economy. Whenever anyone anywhere hurts, they're ready to write a check drawn on the unlimited funds of the U.S. Treasury. Now, we're broke.

As for so called green energy, the environmentalists have opposed highly efficient clean nuclear energy at every turn. They don't want us to have energy at all, they want us to die, leaving the planet to the mosquitoes.

If *they* want alternative energy then *they* can go and invest *their* money and develop *their* alternatives and sell them in the free market without coercion or subsidy. In the meantime, they need to get out of the way of real enterprise.
Posted by: GlennMark
Right on the money, Jonathan!

The government can create jobs, but these jobs can only be paid for by confiscating the future profits owed to those who actually produce real goods and services (and real jobs) in the private sector.

At any given moment, there are only a certain amount of goods in existence and a certain amount of money (profits and savings from the sale of those goods) in existence.

What happens when the government puts trillions of extra dollars into the total supply of money while the amount of goods stays constant? Is there any way that the production of goods can keep up? Is there any way that future profits from the manufacture of new goods can keep up? On top of that, the government plans higher taxation on the profits from those future goods.

How can anyone plan on building a new business or product with this kind of government intrusion into the private market?
How can one even arrive at a value for the goods that o...(Read more of this comment)
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