Sunday March 21, 2010 6:58 PM ET
SmartMoney
Published February 11, 2008  |  A A A
Tradecraft by Jonathan Hoenig (Author Archive)

Tax Rebates to Neediest Won't Stimulate Economy

THERE'S BEEN A groundswell of cross-party teamwork supporting the $168 billion stimulus package, with an unusually cooperative President Bush eager to work with Congress to quickly iron out a plan. The president called it "an example of bipartisan cooperation at a time when the American people most expect it."

Of course, bipartisanship unto itself is not an inherent good. Bad legislation doesn't get any better simply because it's supported by both political parties. The accomplishment now claimed by both Democrats and Republicans is that of two thieves congratulating their own cleverness as they clean out your safe deposit box.

Indeed, the much-heralded stimulus plan is a charade, designed not to boost the economy but the dismal favorability ratings of both the president and Congress. Based on bad economics and immoral philosophy, it will inevitably prolong the economic malaise its backers hope to avert.

At its heart, the stimulus package is a redistribution of wealth, taking money from those who've earned it and giving it to those who haven't on a massive scale that would make Robin Hood blush. Starting this spring, just a few months before November's presidential election, more than 130 million households will start receiving checks. The rebates of up to $600 for individual taxpayers ($1,200 for couples) would phase out for those with incomes above $75,000 ($150,000 for couples), meaning that those who pay the most taxes get the smallest rebates and the wealthiest taxpayers receive nothing at all.

Bizarrely, the bill gives tax rebates to millions of people who don't pay income tax, a group including low-income seniors living on Social Security and military veterans on disability. Most people will also receive a $300 check for each dependent child.

"We believe the stimulus, the way it is targeted, will put money into the hands of those who will spend it immediately, injecting demand into the economy and therefore creating jobs," said House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D., Calif.).

Pelosi's estimate and her economics, however, are deeply flawed. First off, an Associated Press-Ipsos poll found that only 19% of those surveyed said they planned to spend their rebate checks. Rather, the majority planned to pay off bills, meaning that the tremendous demand expected to be created by encouraging citizens to spend money they haven't earned won't likely materialize at all.

Moreover, Pelosi fails to acknowledge that wealth isn't built by stimulating consumption, but by incentivizing production. After all, it's the producers, not the consumers, who power the economy. Wealth isn't created by those who consume, but those who produce, a process that requires long-range planning and a profit motive, neither of which the stimulus does anything to address.

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User Comments
Posted by: capitalistpiglet
Dear SanfranJim : not only did you sink so low as to call Mr. Hoenig a liar but also you say 'Mr. Hoenig doesn't know the first thing about economics'. I would like to ask you 'why' . Why do you attack Mr. Hoenig on a personal level am I to understand you are not professional enough or is it you are not enlightened enough. Unfortunately Mr. Hoenig does not have the time to adequately retort your fact-less, naive and poorly written comment. Sir I would ask you to please be more open-minded, for your own sake. Lastly I will say , sometimes you have to agree to disagree ; because I cannot see you being truly informed on how the real world works any time in the near future . Sincerely yours, capitalist piglet

P.S. how much is your income?
Posted by: hayekcapitalist
Vernhuffer: The real lie is the myth that you have not benefited from supply-side economics. If you have a 401-k or other qualified plan or IRA then you are part of the investing class and have been enriched by incentives to efficiently allocate capital.
Posted by: SanFranciscoJim
Unfortunately Mr. Hoenig doesn't know the first thing about economics, or more likely, he is simply lying to us, because he really should know better. The best way to stimulate the economy in the short run is to give money to the people most likely to spend it: in this case lower income tax payers.

In spite of all the 'class war' rhetoric, this is not really taking from the rich and giving to the poor, it is taking from our children and giving to ourselves. There is a good column to be written there complaining about how the deficit spending of our current Administration has bankrupted our future.

Unfortunately, Mr. Hoenig is not intellectually honest or courageous enough to write that one. The current policies have enriched him and his buddies and that is all that he cares about, not the long term health of the nation.

And I am one of those whose income is too high to get a tax rebate check, so don't even start to go there with me.
Posted by: tuner01
I totally agree with rd24dec! It is all about 'supply and demand'! You can supply all you want, but, if the consumer don't have the funds to purchase (no job, too much in the way of tax, gasoline and crude prices beyond belief, etc) then demand, or lack of, will regulate the economy!

The consumer will need long term relief, not just a few bucks in the kitty now as a consolation prize provided by those who seek public office.
vernhuffer

91 Comments
There have been of tax cuts on unearned income for twenty seven years. Wealth has been created but it has gone to the very few. Very little has trickled down. Although wage earner are bombarded by billions of dollars of politcal propanganda, they are begining to realize that they are being lied to. A good outcome would be if they use the ballot box and not the streets with most of the top one percent having to follow their money out of the country to save their necks.
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