The peso will collapse along with government with the failure/inability to deal with the drug cartels
Posted 12:31 AM EST May 20, 2008
Posted by: hayekcapitalist
While I am neither a trader nor a speculator as classically defined, I concur that waiting for a loser to turn around can take much longer and drop much further than appears rational. Patience has demonstrated, in my case, superior risk-adjusted returns, however, if one exhibits due diligence in stock selection. I bought SAFM at about $30/share four-five years ago only watch it drop to the upper teens. It has now rallied nicely and paid me a small dividend along the way. While discretion must be exhibited in using an averaging down technique, I did apply it sparingly, and thus received an added boost from a lower average price as well. The peso will do well with a Democratic administration because the frictional costs of investing in the U.S. will be so high such that capital will flee to any place it is better appreciated.
Posted 6:11 PM EST May 19, 2008
Posted by: FOGNO
The Mexican stock ETF, EWW, is another path. The 50 day moving average just crossed the 200 day average, a good sign to technical types.