ByJACK HOUGH
Takeovers and positive> clinical results often drive big moves in biotech stocks. For example, Medarex, a human antibody specialist with 40 drugs in trials, traded at $8.40 a share in mid-July when Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMY)
Stock screening software isn t useful for sorting biotechs by the value of their drug development pipelines, either to investors or corporate suitors. This column tends to pass over small, profitless biotechs because their lack of income tends to eliminate them from most screens. Bernstein Research, a unit of giant investment manager AllianceBernstein, recently used brain power rather than computer power to search more than 13,000 biotechs for companies that seem poised for a takeout or a breakout. I ve listed their top three finds below, partly to make up for my neglect of the group and partly because Monday s stock news was dominated by takeovers. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped 131 points to close at 9796 after Abbott Laboratories (ABT)
Geoffrey Porges, Bernstein s head biotech analyst, focused his search on the 140 or so firms that trade on North American or European exchanges and have stock market values between $250 million and $5 billion. He zeroed in on 77 research-based companies with novel compounds that might eventually be sold in the U.S. or other big markets and key drugs in late-stage trials. From these, he selected takeout candidates by judging whether their existing partnerships would preclude or allow for a new, lucrative deal. He decided which are breakout candidates by determining whether key trial results are likely in coming months. The results include 28 takeout candidates, 10 breakout candidates and three stocks with takeout and breakout potential, which are listed below.
One caveat: Porges wrote Friday that he has no specific knowledge of takeover discussions, and that the list isn t meant to give specific recommendations, but to suggest a set of possible candidates in response to the inevitable question of Who's next? for investors to examine more closely and position themselves accordingly.
Abraxis BioScience
Market Value: $1.42 billion
Los Angeles-based Abraxis BioSciences (ABII)
Protalix BioTherapeutics
Market Value: $620 million
Israel s Protalix BioTherapeutics (PLX)
Optimer Pharmaceuticals
Market Value: $474 million
Based in San Diego, Optimer Pharmaceutical (OPTR)



- LinkedIn
- Fark
- del.icio.us
- Reddit
X