ByJACK HOUGH
Wall Street> likes to follow the adage: If you can t say something nice, don t say anything. Just look at analysts current recommendations concerning shares of the large American companies that make up the S&P 500 index. There are 10 positive assessments ( buy, outperform or the like) for each negative one.
The numbers don t necessarily suggest a conspiracy. A cynic would say that analysts tout stocks so that their firms can win those companies banking business, and there s ample evidence of past misconduct among investment banks with research arms, but there are also strict new conflict-of-interest rules that have been enacted in recent years. And besides, a more benign explanation of the lopsided recommendation count seems likelier to be true; brokerage clients mostly want to hear about stocks to buy, not avoid, so analysts oblige by finding supposed winners.
That s just it, though buy -rated stocks aren t winners, especially. They tend to merely keep pace with the broad market over long time periods, studies show. (Specifically, Wall Street s favorite stocks tend to do well in rising markets and poorly in falling markets, suggesting analysts, like most investors, are fond of popular stocks and wary of discounted ones.) Sell -rated stocks, on the other hand, really do tend to perform as promised, which is to say, lousily. It s a shame analysts are so upbeat, because their boos are more profitable than their cheers.
A search among S&P 500 companies for ones with at least three fresh negative recommendations issued over the past 13 weeks turned up just three names, listed below.
KeyCorp
Shares of Cleveland-based KeyCorp (KEY)
Diamond Offshore Drilling
Prices for high-end oil rigs have fallen from around $700 million to $500 million in recent years, and Houston-based Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO)
PulteGroup
PulteGroup (PHM)



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