ByJACK HOUGH
Eastman Kodak (EK)
Let's not continue to blame Kodak's demise on the shift from print photography to digital. IBM (IBM)
Consider this hopeful headline: "Kodak Net Soars as Its Focus Shifts to Digital Lines." That's from The Wall Street Journal in April 2004 (the month Kodak was dropped from the Dow Jones Industrial Average after 74 years). The stock has lost two-thirds of its value since then. Kodak's digital reorganization is, in fact, in its fifth weary year.
During that time the company has halved its workforce, sold a health imaging unit and spent more than $3 billion to make the shift. Digital goods and services now make up more than two-thirds of total sales. That alone is no assurance that stock returns will improve. Ask Canon (CAJ)
This should go without saying, but Kodak is worth something. That is, if I offered you the company for $1,000 -- the land, buildings, machines, patents and so on -- you'd take it. You'd pay $10,000 or $10 million, too. The sales outlook for Kodak might be dismal -- Wall Street expects declines of 4% this year and 6.5% next year -- but this is, after all, a company that will produce more than $9 billion in sales next year. Its net worth, or assets less liabilities, is listed at more than $4 billion.
I wouldn't call Kodak the picture of financial strength; its corporate debt is rated below investment grade and Standard & Poor's has the company on its watch list for a possible downgrade. But the company holds $1.8 billion in cash and equivalents, an amount equal to four-fifths of its stock market value and which exceeds its long-term debt by a half-billion dollars. So the dividend seems safe for now. Also, Kodak has reduced its debt by $294 million this year and last quarter spent $219 million on its own stock. (I'm not sure if the latter qualifies as management confidence or a lack of appreciation for the stock's history, but I'll bet stockholders would have preferred a one-time dividend.)
All told, a suitably ugly price for Kodak seems to be something like 25 cents on the dollar for the stuff it owns free and clear, plus about 10 years' worth of dividends upfront. Such a price would value, say, General Electric (GE),
Have a look if you like at all six companies that turned up recently on my bottom-fishing screen. Run the search anytime you like using SmartMoney's stock screener and the full list of criteria.
| Stock Ticker | Company Name | Industry | Curr. Price | Price Chg. YTD (%) | Price/Sales | Price/Book Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data as of Nov. 5, 2008. | ||||||
| ANN | Ann Taylor Stores | Apparel Stores | 12.02 | -52.97 | 0.30 | 0.90 |
| BCO | Brink's | Security Services | 25.56 | -57.21 | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| EK | Eastman Kodak | Photographic Equipment | 9.34 | -57.29 | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| EXPE | Expedia | Internet Info. Providers | 8.51 | -73.09 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| KND | Kindred Healthcare | Long-Term Care Facilities | 13.02 | -47.88 | 0.10 | 0.60 |
| WFMI | Whole Foods Market | Grocery Stores | 10.31 | -74.73 | 0.20 | 1.00 |
Bottom Fishing Screen Recipe
- Share price within 5% of 52-week low
- Trailing 12-month sales greater than $300 million
- Price/sales ratio below industry median
- Price/book value ratio below industry median



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