ByJACK HOUGH
Companies don't seem> interested in buying rivals at the moment, despite the comparatively low prices they could pay for them. That bodes poorly for stocks in general, but investors can still use the math of takeover pros to find bargains.
U.S. shares are 27% cheaper than a year ago, even after climbing 15% in the second quarter. During the first half, though, the value of announced acquisitions in the U.S. fell 45% from a year earlier, according to data provider Dealogic. TrimTabs, an investment research group, calls the second quarter the most bearish it has seen since it started tracking data in 1995, in terms of companies' zeal for selling new shares to the public and their reluctance to spend cash to buy either their shares or entire companies.
Investors should read that as a sign of stock-market pessimism among company managers, which signals poor market returns to come, according to TrimTabs. Perhaps that makes now a good time to raise cash, or at least trade pricey stocks for cheap ones. To the latter end, I've listed five companies below that corporate suitors might think are good deals right now, if they weren't so reluctant to spend. Some of the traits that can make a company a potential takeover target can also make it a promising stock. Chief among them is a modest price.
The companies have, in the parlance of merger and acquisition pros, low EV/Ebitda ratios. EV is enterprise value, which is what an investor would pay to buy a company in its entirety and repay all of its debt. Ebitda stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. It's a measure of underlying profit potential that allows for tidy comparisons of companies. A low EV/Ebitda ratio, then, means a company had a modest takeover price relative to its earnings potential. The companies on my list also generate free cash, something acquiring firms like to see.
BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ)
Dell (DELL)
Listed below are details on these two companies and three others.
| Company | Ticker | Industry | Curr. Price | EV/Ebitda | Return on Equity (%) | Dividend Yield (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data as of July 1, 2009 | ||||||
| Dell | DELL | Personal Computers | 13.73 | 5.60 | 46.9 | n/a |
| Sherwin-Williams | SHW | Chemicals | 53.75 | 6.86 | 32.0 | 2.64 |
| Eastman Chemical | EMN | Chemicals | 37.90 | 5.63 | 14.1 | 4.64 |
| BJ's Wholesale Club | BJ | Discount Stores | 32.23 | 5.99 | 14.8 | n/a |
| Weis Markets | WMK | Grocery Stores | 33.52 | 5.93 | 8.2 | 3.46 |



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