ByDAN BURROWS
Memorial Day weekend> is the unofficial start of summer and traditionally the beginning of a quieter period for equities. But recent gains and increased optimism in a second-half recovery mean that just because school's out for summer, the stock market most certainly is not.
"The old adage 'Sell in May and Go Away' is a very dangerous proposition this year," says Brett D'Arcy, director of investment and research at CBIZ Financial Solutions (CBZ)
True, there is something to the Sell-in-May saying: Plexus Asset Management crunched the average monthly total return of the S&P 500 from January 1950 to April 2009. Sure enough, only September and October produced lower results than June, July or August.
See 5 stocks set to shine this summer
There are other caveats with seasonal investing, the most salient being that the market knows that summer comes every year. As such, expected gains in sales and earnings tend to get baked into share prices months in advance.
But that doesn't mean there aren't some solid summer stocks out there that could offer upside surprise by autumn, thanks to larger macro trends or company-specific strengths. From energy to lawn care to summer blockbusters, here, then, is a look at five stocks for summer.
The maker of Monster energy drink has been one of the best-performing stocks of the last decade and now it looks set to have a monster summer, too. "They're taking market share in the one category in the beverage space that is actually still growing -- energy drinks," says Damian Witkowski, an analyst with Gabelli & Co., who rates shares at Buy. Hansen (HANS)
Don't look now but oil prices are roaring back ahead of the summer driving season. Just a few months ago black gold struggled to break past $40 a barrel. Now it's fetching $60, and this is only the beginning, says Rob Lutts, chief investment officer at Cabot Money Management. "With the global downturn you had a huge abrupt stop in energy exploration and development," Lutts says. "We've got a big crunch coming when the economy recovers. That's why oil can't go below $50 and I think it's going to $70." Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO)
The operator of the T.J. Maxx and Marshall's off-price chain stores looks to be well-poised for the critical back-to-school shopping season, says Patrick McKeever, an analyst at MKM Partners, who rates shares at Buy. Indeed, lower-price chains like Wal-Mart (WMT)
The world's largest maker of lawn- and garden-care products has shown remarkable strength in its critical global consumer business. And although the seasonal planting season is already about halfway done, cash-strapped consumers are shifting to "do it yourself" lawn and garden care from "do it for me," notes Douglas Lane, an analyst at Jefferies who rates shares at Buy. More consumers are also planting vegetable gardens in these tough times, Lane says, and points out that better-than-expected results from Home Depot (HD)
For a higher stakes seasonal play, look no farther than entertainment giant Walt Disney (DIS)



- LinkedIn
- Fark
- del.icio.us
- Reddit
X