Tuesday November 24, 2009 7:46 AM ET
SmartMoney
Published October 20, 2008  |  A A A
Tradecraft by Jonathan Hoenig (Author Archive)

Bank Nationalization Jeopardizes Innovation

My first computer was an Apple IIe purchased by my parents back in 1985. It came with no hard drive, no monitor, no software -- and a cost of approximately $1,300. That's about $2,500 in today's dollars.


Apple IIe Computer -- 1985 cost: $1,300

MacBook Computer -- 2008 cost: $1,300

Since then, the cost of computers has plummeted, even when adjusted for inflation, while at the same time their usefulness has exploded. In productivity, power and ease of use, a $1,300 computer today (which just happens to be the cost of Apple's (AAPL) gorgeous MacBook) is superior to my old Apple II in every way. Once a luxury, extremely powerful computers are owned and used by Americans of every age, race and socioeconomic level.

What's prompted the huge advancement wasn't strong regulation or even investment from Uncle Sam, but relentless innovation from profit-hungry entrepreneurs and the investors who've backed them.

Success was never guaranteed. Over time, companies like Digital Equipment, NeXT and Compaq have come and gone. Products like the Apple Newton have flopped, while others like the iMac have met great success. Some investors have become rich, others have gone bust, but we've all benefited from their competitive efforts.

Would a government-owned computer company -- one in which bureaucrats instead of engineers decided the "right" amount of circuits to develop or microprocessors to design -- have been anywhere as successful as Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) or Dell (DELL)? Hardly.

This same logic applies to today's banking and finance sectors. As I've discussed over the last few weeks, the nationalization of America's financial institutions is underway. From an investor's perspective, my expectation is that those companies in which the government owns a piece will underperform those in which it does not.

Fewer IPOs, More Regulation

It's been 10 weeks since a company has held an initial public offering in the U.S., the longest dry spell on record since at least the 1980s, reported Monday's Wall Street Journal. Eventually, companies will start coming public again. But what kind of regulatory environment will they encounter when they do?

Rep. Barney Frank, (D., Mass.), chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, told the San Francisco Chronicle that "This is the end of the era of extreme laissez-faire, of 'Don't tax it, don't regulate it…". [T]hat has now been totally evaporated."

Sarbanes-Oxley caused the number of companies de-registering from public stock exchanges to triple and increased the cost of being a publicly held company by 130%. Think Congressman Frank's efforts to further tax and regulate will improve the American economy? Don't count on it.

A Tragic Loss

Terrible news from the Chicago futures markets: A 20-year trading veteran was found dead of an apparent suicide on Thursday morning.

Joseph Luizzi, 44 years old and a Chicago Mercantile Exchange member since 1982, was reportedly despondent over millions of dollars of losses racked up in the S&P 500 futures pit during Wednesday's extremely volatile market. Police officers found trading cards recording substantial losses in Luizzi's jacket pocket.

Stress, depression and suicide are factors in every professional work environment, including finance. Such tragedies, however, remind us that the markets are more than electronic blips on a computer screen and it's not simply people's portfolios that are affected. This has been a market that has left even old-timers speechless -- and scared.

My deepest condolences to his family, colleagues and friends.

Jonathan Hoenig is managing member at Capitalistpig Hedge Fund LLC.


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User Comments
jepassos

4 Comments
When the US financial authorities reduced interest rates after the dotcom bubble, and September 11 attack. This is the starting point of the current expeculation in the real state market.
Now reality is striking back. Time to rethink economic policies... The American Dolar is not a currency without risks, its is a currency like any other. So interest rates should be set at a around a minimum of 6% per year + inflation. There is no free lunch as much as there is no capital below the cost of inflation.
Posted by: JONHOENIG
I'll say this about Barney Frank... he is very compelling viewing!

http://www.funnyordie.com/videos/8d867fd8ef
Posted by: abdellatom
To calkeefer: The financial meltdown was caused by the government forcing in some cases and encouraging in others, subprime mortgages through Fannie Mae, Freddie mac and the Coummunity Reinvestment Act. Mark to market accounting, easy money from the Fed played a significant role. To big to fail bailouts have almost eliminated the downside of risk. To the extent that a private bank committed fraud in a free country it should suffer the consequences of the law. Private deposit insurance would be available to those who wanted it if the government did not provide it at the expense of the taxpayer. Depositors would use their very own brains (with the help of rating agencies) and put their money in banks with solid banking principles. Those banks would thrive. We don't need Federal charters or Federal involvement in the banking system at all. That has been the problem. We don't need more rat poison.
Posted by: calkeefer
The entrepreneurs and 'innovators ' of the banking industry have cost taxpayers 700 billion and counting. They have caused one of the worst financial crisis since the great depression. The so called innovation consisted of inventing financial vaporware and finding new and creative ways to raise fees to consumers. these 'entrepreneurs' specialized in taking from the less sophisticated and least affluent among us . A reverse ' Robin Hood ' effect .
If a bank wants a federal charter with taxpayer funded depositor guarantees , it needs to have accurate transparent bookkeeping and it needs to invest the depositors money, not gamble it.
There are other financial vehicles for 'entrepreneurs and innovators' , my father in law prefers 'the track'
Posted by: hbehler
Bureaucrat-controlled and regulated markets have proven to be ineffective in an 40-year postwar experiment in Eastern Europe. I have visited east German factories in 1991 and have a clue. (yes this posting is from Germany). REMEMBER that free citizens and companies still PAY the bill! It is ridiculous the same bureaucrats blaming free markets now. The idea of bureaucrats dictating what's up in privately held companies really scares me! However, beside this general point, I agree that some 'lender of last resort' could be of immediate help - but please not a cent more than necessary.
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