Sunday November 8, 2009 1:31 PM ET
SmartMoney
Published November 10, 2008  |  A A A
Tradecraft by Jonathan Hoenig (Author Archive)

Taxpayers Play Role of Crash-Test Dummies

Any federal bailout of U.S. auto makers is theft; there's no other way to describe it. For the benefit of inefficient corporations, their management, union leaders and employees, the honest American taxpayer is being burglarized. Both Republicans and Democrats are to blame.

There is no such thing as a right to a job; there is only the right to free trade. As an industry, auto makers have no more or less rights than shopkeepers, restaurant owners, marketing consultants or professional clowns. When the tech bubble burst and thousands of individuals were laid off from companies ranging from Pets.com to Psudo.com, there was no federal bailout. The majority of those workers, just as vital as auto makers, all found other jobs.

The real (free) market is shunning these companies. General Motors' (GM) 8.375% bond due in July 2033 is yielding 34%, while the stock trades at 1950s levels. Ford Motor's (F) 7.45% note due in July 2031 yields 22%, and the stock trades at where it did in the early 1980s. These are now tiny companies. GM's market capitalization is less than 2% that of Toyota's (TM). Ford's is about 5% of Honda's (HMC).

Auto Makers' Market Caps (in billions)

Nancy Pelosi , Harry Reid and, yes, Henry Paulson (the banker formerly of Goldman Sachs (GS)) are looking to invest your money in these train wrecks as many before them already have -- with disastrous results. Billionaire Kirk Kerkorian started buying Ford stock when it was at $7.70 a share in April only to dump it months later for a roughly 70% loss.

Many more were smart enough not to invest in Ford or GM. Yet now, in the name of "the public good," the government is likely to put tens of billions more taxpayer dollars into companies that, by every measure, should fold up shop.

More taxpayer dollars? Indeed. It was just four weeks ago when the government approved $25 billion in low-interest loans to help these train wrecks produce more fuel-efficient cars and trucks. That alone was the biggest federal subsidy for the auto industry since the 1980 bailout of Chrysler.

Yes, you're already invested in these companies; yes, you're already propping them up -- but without the transparency, fair dealing and accountability these same lawmakers were berating Wall Street for just a few months ago.

Are you pissed at Wall Street? Well, welcome to Wall Street done Washington-style. Backroom deals with zero accountability or oversight in which tens of billions of taxpayer dollars are shuffled based on political, not economic, concerns. Earlier Monday the government unveiled its new plan to bail out AIG (AIG), boosting the total cost of the package from the original $85 billion to $150 billion. Ironic considering the vast majority of taxpayers wanted nothing to do with AIG in the first place.

For the life of me, I still don't understand how violating the rights of certain citizens (taxpayers) to benefit others (CEOs, unions and auto workers) benefits the public good. Do we still have a free market or not?

Since the government began intervening in the financial markets earlier this year , the principles of capitalism and individual rights have been literally tossed aside. Now, the message is that if you fail, you get a bailout. If you don't pay your mortgage, if you don't save for a rainy day, if you mismanage a company or don't live within your means, the responsible members of society are there, albeit unwillingly, to pick up the pieces. No wonder insurance companies, community banks and mortgage backers desperate for cash are lining up for their taxpayer-funded giveaway!

Democrats Pelosi, Reid and Rahm Emanuel, President-elect Barack Obama's chief of staff, have all referred to the auto makers as "essential" to the U.S. economy. Yet it was back in the late 1800s when as much as 50% of the population was employed in agriculture. Now less than one-half of 1% of the nation's jobs are directly tied to agriculture. Can you imagine if our leaders at the time had proclaimed agriculture jobs in the United States as "essential"?

Auto makers don't have a right to cash they haven't produced. Individuals who create wealth deserve it and have a right to it. Period. But one doesn't acquire rights to things by failing to earn them.

This country has gotten by just fine without Studebaker and Packard. We've survived and prospered without Pullman Porters, elevator operators and a vibrant electronics industry.

In a truly free market, old jobs are lost and new ones are created. Indeed, liberty and capitalism work when you let them. In a misguided rush to save the auto makers, our lawmakers are driving this country's economy far off track. Capitalism is out, socialism is in.

Jonathan Hoenig is managing member at Capitalistpig Hedge Fund LLC.

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User Comments
Posted by: omerkulov
For the anti- this article crowd. Absence of the bailout will not mean that the jobs will be lost. This is a part of a disgusting PR by incompetent management trying to save their jobs they suck at. Chapter 11 bankrupcy where companies like that mostly end up means restructuring firm's capital and management structures, not laying off all workforce. Some will be laid off, but better some now then all later.

Quit whining.
Posted by: coutantone
'Atlas Shrugged' by Ayn Rand. It's happening right now in America.

I wish John Galt was real!
Posted by: cooperbry
Time to let them go and the banks too. What the hell has happened in America. All the people that are for some sort of bail out of auto manufacturers should go out and buy a new GM or Ford car. I'm not interested in bailing anyone else out. Who's going to bail me out when the house of cards collapses (wait, it already is)? I know it's not the people talking about bailing out the car makers!
Posted by: KickingTires
There are so many problems with this column.
1. The number of jobs directly related to wall street positions: 2.5 to every wall street job.
Jobs related to every tech job: 4
Jobs related to the auto industry: 5, highest of any industry

Meaning hundreds of thousands of jobs (if not the 2.9 million the industry is quoting) will be lost. Of roughly double what we have now. So think 18% unemployment.

2. You're calling a $50 billion bridge loan to bailout the Detroit Three the same as the $160 billion to bailout AIG? I don't think so.

3. Competition? The Japanese and Germans not only don't have to worry about health care because it is state run, but those governments also fully back those industries with $$$. Just like the Detroit 3 is asking for now, but they've done it for years.

If a 'bailout' happens there will still be tens of thousands laid off.

Chrysler's fate will need to be figured out. It can't exist even with a loan. I...(Read more of this comment)
Posted by: qzthgb
My guess is that Mr. Hoenig sits in his office all day and has no idea what it takes to manufacture anything. Contrary to his belief all successful economies produce something other than paper. Do you every wonder why all the developing economies want to start auto industries. We have one and want to throw it away. Wake up.

If you want truly free trade it needs to go both ways. Japan and Korea should immediately stop manipulating their currencies. Both countries should stop state sponsored health care programs.Let the automakers pay for it. Both countries should open their markets to US companies and quit putting up artificial barriers. China --- how do you compete with $1 an hour, Vietnam even cheaper. Should we roll our minimum wage back to say $0.75 an hour.

It is ironic that the joke used to be, when all the mfg goes overseas their wont be anyone left to buy the products. With the current financial crisis the chickens have finally come hom...(Read more of this comment)
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