Saturday March 20, 2010 9:09 AM ET
SmartMoney
Published February 9, 2010  |  A A A
Common Sense by James B. Stewart (Author Archive)

Get Ready to Shop for Stocks

It’s time to make a shopping list.

Amid the recent swings in the market, major averages have been approaching a Common Sense buying threshold (a 10% decline from a peak in the Nasdaq composite, which in this case is 2090). So investors should have a buying strategy ready. That’s especially the case now, since there hasn’t been a buying opportunity in nearly a year.

True, the Nasdaq hasn’t yet dipped below the mark, and the other major averages have declined even less in percentage terms. But the Nasdaq has come close, hitting 2101 intraday last week.

The recent dip has come despite a string of impressive fourth-quarter earnings reports and signs that the U.S. economy continues to grow. Continuing high unemployment, worries about the deficit and possible Federal Reserve tightening overshadowed these positive developments. Most recently, investors have been concerned about sovereign debt in the euro-zone countries of Greece, Portugal and Spain. While these issues may affect future earnings, in my view they’re a sideshow to earnings themselves. Investors should stay focused on the basics, and nothing is more fundamental than earnings and revenue growth.

In this environment—the early stages of economic recovery, high unemployment, and possibly a correction in the stock market — I went looking for high-quality growth stocks with proven earnings potential. I wanted sustainable growth — not just adroit cost cutting. So I began by running a screen seeking companies over $1 billion in market capitalization with year-on-year profit growth over 50% in the most recent quarter and revenue growth above 10% over the past year. Out of 56 such companies that met the criteria, I selected five -- each in a different sector -- that I find especially attractive:

Amazon.com (AMZN)

Amazon has been a Common Sense favorite for some time (and I own shares). I last highlighted it on Dec. 29 (see “Where Do Ford and Amazon Go From Here”), when I rated it a hold with its shares at $140. That’s just as well, since it was trading this week at $117. In the meantime, Amazon reported great fourth-quarter earnings (up 67%) and annual revenue was up 28%. It said its free cash flow more than doubled. True, Amazon’s Kindle e-reading device has been overshadowed by Apple’s forthcoming iPad, and Amazon lost its pricing battle with book publishers, at least for now. But Amazon is emerging as the nation’s dominant e-retailer, not just a bookseller. Amazon sold off after last year’s fourth-quarter earnings, too, and that proved a buying opportunity.

United Therapeutics (UTHR)

Health-care reform may or may not be dead in Washington, but there will always be demand for successful new therapies and treatments. United Therapeutics is a biotechnology company specializing in treatments for heart disease. Third-quarter earnings, the most recent available, were up 83%, while revenue for the past 12 months was up 27%. At $58 the stock hasn’t pulled back much from a recent high of $61. (Fourth-quarter earnings are due next week, so investors may want to wait and see if the momentum is continuing.)

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User Comments
Posted by: bungalow2
UTHR looks good (nice PE/G ratio, steady revenue growth) however, they've had tax credits (negative tax expenses) 2004-08. I always look at that because if they're faking the revenue (ala Enron) it's unlikely they'd cough up the dough to fake the tax expense. So... why the negative tax expenses? http://www.smartmoney.com/stock-quote/?story=financials&called=1&symbol=UTHR
yieldpig

138 Comments
SLF's a pretty good one.
http://yieldpig.blogspot.com/

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Posted by: percolator on THE PRAGMATIC CAPITALIST

Congrats TPC for making the All-Star Team! http://newrulesofinvesting.com/2010/02/08/superbowl-team-online-finances-best/ Well deserved!

Posted by: Option_Trading on Twitter

Get Ready to Shop for Stocks: Get Ready to Shop for Stocks Smartmoney.com - 12 minutes ago Amid the recent swing... http://bit.ly/cSoInp

Posted by: tweber on Twitter

Attention, stock shoppers: 5 picks from SmartMoney's James B. Stewart. http://bit.ly/blBWow

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AMZN 130.35 Down -2.41 -1.82%
UTHR 56.98 Down -0.13 -0.23%
UA 28.74 Up 0.40 1.41%
CRM 76.02 Down -0.89 -1.16%

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