Monday March 22, 2010 10:55 AM ET
SmartMoney
Published September 1, 2009  |  A A A
Market Update by Will Swarts (Author Archive)

September Starts With 2% Slide for Stocks

News at a Glance

  • ISM Watch: August manufacturing report signals improvement.
  • Bailout Bailout: Bank of America offers to repay some federal money.
  • Housing Scene: Housing and construction data mixed.
  • Skype Sale: Ebay to unload telephony unit.

The Lowdown

Improved manufacturing growth and increased pending home sales weren't enough to halt a broad selloff that sent stocks down sharply as traders backed off from equities.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 186 to 9311, a 2% one-day drop. The Nasdaq shed 40 to 1969, also a 2% slide, and the S&P 500 declined 23 to 998, a 2.3% loss. The second consecutive down open may signal a reversal of the summer rally, which was powered by a slew of better than expected earnings results, many derived from significant corporate cost cutting.

Traders were buoyed by the Institute for Supply Manufacturing's August manufacturing report, which showed a rise to 52.9, the first time it registered above 50 since January of 2008. The National Association of Realtors said pending home sales, transactions for which contracts have been signed, rose 3.2% in July, the biggest increase since June 2007. However, the $8,000 federal tax credit extended to first-time home buyers will expire in November, and that will likely slow those increases.

The Commerce Department said July construction spending dropped 0.2% from June.

The Dow ended August up 3.5%, its fifth monthly gain in six months and the best August since 2000. It remains less than 100 points below its high for the year after hitting a low of 6547 on March 9. The S&P 500 ended August up 3.4%, its sixth consecutive monthly gain.

Many on Wall Street think stocks are due for a correction, typically defined as a 10% decline from a high. September's history also could lead traders to take some profits after the huge spring and summer gains, but Tuesday's data could sustain buying trends. Since 1900, the Dow has fallen 1.1% on average in September, the only month with a significant average drop, according to Ned Davis Research.

Stocks declined in Europe Tuesday after data showed joblessness in the euro-zone at a 10-year high. Also, data in the U.K. showed the manufacturing sector unexpectedly sliding back into contraction and a decline in consumer lending for the first time in at least 16 years.

Shares of eBay (EBAY) rose on expectations it will announce a deal Tuesday to sell its Skype Internet telephony unit to a group of private investors, according to a report in the New York Times. The newspaper said a price wasn't disclosed, but eBay has said it wants around $2 billion for Skype, which is set to make more than $600 million in revenue this year.

Oil futures slumped despite stronger economic data. As of 3:59 p.m., futures traded on the Nymex had risen 15 cents to $68.20 a barrel, following the regular session close.

Corporate News

  • Bank of America (BAC) has offered to repay some of the Federal bailout money it received last year and is in talks end an agreement that would have had the government assume part of its losses, The Wall Street Journal reported. STORY
  • Chain store sales for the week ended Aug. 29 declined 0.7% from a year ago. The ICSC Goldman index showed a 0.5% week-to-week decline. REPORT

The Economy

  • The Institute for Supply Manufacturing's August manufacturing report showed a rise to 52.9, beyond earlier estimates of 50.5. It climbed from 48.9 in July and was the first rise above the 50 level since January 2008. 
  • Construction spending figures from the Commerce Department dropped to $958.0 billion in July, a 0.2% decline from revised June estimate of $959.5 billion. The July figure is 10.5 percent (±1.8%) below the July 2008 estimate of $1,070.2 billion. REPORT
  • The National Association of Realtors said pending home sales for July rose 3.2% and that contracts signed are up 12% for the year to date. It's the best increase since June of 2007. REPORT


  • Dow Jones Newswires contributed to this report.


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User Comments

The United States of America became the "to big to fail" United Corporations of America, and that's an 8,000 DOW. The manipulated DOW increase from 6,500 to 9,500 in the past five months stems from a massive Government "spin" and P.R. Campaign led by daily sound bites first from Mr. Geithner and most recently, Mr. Bernanke, along with the knee jerk reaction of the stock traders betting everything on the notion of "better than expected" numbers. As my articles have repeatedly stated (Google "Richard Michael Abraham"), the fundamentals do NOT exist for a 46% DOW increase in five months, and 175%350% increase in financial and bank stocks. My articles forewarned Americans not to get sucked into a manipulated, P.R. driven stock market rise. "Americans, continue to be patriotic to yourself, don't consume, don't get caught in the manipulation of the stock market. Save your money for the coming rainy day." The United States is an $8,000 DOW, possibly lower if World events in Iraq,...(Read more of this comment)55%, unemployment will rise to 11% or more, wealth and the nest eggs of retirees have been wiped out, so must the United States of America suffer now the shrinkage. Only then, will our great Country purge the corporate corruption, chew it up, spit it out, and restart its engines. These are hardship times and sadly, there will be more innocent suffering until all this is offer. By the end of October, it's a DOW 8,000, or lower. And I pray our leaders will use sound judgment, wisdom void of "spin" and P.R. and courageous enough to accept its losses, swallow a bitter pill, and then, and only then, prepare for our Country's rebirth.

Warmest,

Richard Michael Abraham, Founder
The REDI Foundation www.redii.org info@redii.org

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