Sunday November 22, 2009 7:43 PM ET
SmartMoney
Published November 4, 2009  |  A A A
Market Update by Will Swarts (Author Archive)

Fed Message Spurs Sound, Fury, Flat Finish

News at a Glance

  • Fed View: Decision offers little new insight on long-term outlook for rates.
  • Cloudy Opel: GM scraps Magna deal for European brands.
  • Media Matters: Time Warner profit falls, AOL spinoff touted.
  • Crude Clamor: Long-term demand forecast headed down.

The Lowdown

Stocks took another big swing Wednesday afternoon, giving back most gains after the Federal Reserve said it will continue its policy of low interest rates, now at zero to 0.25%. Indexes closed mixed.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 30 to 9802, off its intraday high of 140 points. The Nasdaq dropped 2 to close at 2056 and the S&P 500 was flat, up 1 at 1047.

The Federal Reserve Open Markets Committee concludes its October meeting today and will released minutes this afternoon, saying it anticipates keeping "an exceptionally low level of rates" that would continue "for an extended period" as economic conditions improve, a repetition of a closely watched phrase from the last meeting. 

The question isn't whether the Fed will change interests from current near-zero levels, but whether it will provide any signals as to a withdrawal of some of the extraordinary measures it's enacted to help the economy limit the damage from the credit crunch.

Currency analysts at Societe Generale had expected the phrase to stay, though some in the market expected a slight change.

"Any such change would be a big event for risky assets, which have been well supported by generous liquidity conditions," said the analysts, who suggested buying the dollar on dips on the "hunch" that concerns over growth, global liquidity and the bank sector will send investors away from perceived riskier assets.

A closely watched employment report from Automatic Data Processing and Macroeconomic Advisors showed private-sector payrolls declined by 203,000 last month, meeting the expectations of economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires. The government will issue its monthly payrolls report on Friday.

In Asia, the Nikkei 225 rose 0.4% while the Kospi Composite advanced 1.9% in Seoul. European stocks also were strong ahead of the U.S. interest rate decision.

The currency markets went into risk-taking mode, lifting the euro against major rivals and the dollar against the Japanese yen.

Crude futures inched higher Wednesday amid gains in European stock markets and a weaker dollar, but cautious sentiment ahead of U.S. oil inventories data and the Fed's policy statement kept a lid on further gains. As of 4:06 p.m., the front-month December light, sweet, crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange traded up 58 cents at $80.18 a barrel. Long-term forecasts called for a more moderate rate of global demand increases. STORY

Corporate News

  • Comcast (CMCSA) shares rose after the cable operator reported a better-than-expected 22% rise in profit.
  • Time Warner (TWX) shares rose after the media conglomerate reported a 38% drop in profits but raised its full-year outlook. It said it expected to complete the spinoff of its AOL unit before the end of the year, effectively undoing one of the most disastrous mergers in recent corporate history.
  • Kraft Foods (KFT) shares fell after it reported weaker-than-expected sales late Tuesday. Kraft also didn't say whether it will make a formal bid for Britain's Cadbury (CBY) ahead of a deadline.
  • General Motors said it would restructure Opel and other European brands itself, pulling out of a deal to sell them to Magna International. STORY

The Economy

  • The Energy Department reported that crude inventories fell 4 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 30, and gasoline inventories decreased 300,000 barrels, the Energy Information Administration reported. Analysts surveyed by Platts had expected a modest gain in both fuels. The EIA also reported a 400,000 decline in distillate inventories, which include heating oil and diesel. Demand for gasoline rose 1.8% to 9 million barrels a day, EIA data showed. STORY
  • Planned job reductions at major U.S. corporations declined for the third month in a row in October, falling to the lowest level since March 2008, according to a monthly tally compiled by outplacement firm Challenger Gray & Christmas. Planned layoffs were at 55,679 last month, down 16% compared with September and down 51% compared with October 2008. STORY
  • ADP Employment Services said private employers cut 203,000 jobs in October, after a revised 227,000 in September that was fewer than initially reported. REPORT

Dow Jones Newswires contributed to this report.


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User Comments
Posted by: tenna77591@gmail.com
This isn't a bubble!! The markets should continue to gain ground going forward. Considering the huge tumble that we witnessed last year I would think the global equity markets should remain stable through the next few months at least. Stay invested in best performing sectors of the global market place and watch your investment dollars grow. http://www.mutualfundwealth.com/
USGNRL

33 Comments
The asset bubble continues. Anybody with half a brain will wait for this bubble to pop before buying.
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Posted by: Kedarwil on Twitter

RT @SmartMoney: Stocks get Solid Start Ahead of Fed Decision http://bit.ly/2LB2nj

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