Sunday November 22, 2009 1:01 PM ET
SmartMoney
Published February 20, 2008  |  A A A
Deal of the Day by Kelli B. Grant (Author Archive)

Five Reasons to Hold Off on Buying Blu-ray

IT TOOK TWO YEARS for a clear winner to emerge in the high-definition format war between Blu-ray and HD DVD. But now the victor, Sony's (SNE) Blu-ray, faces yet another battle — one that could make spending hundreds of dollars on the format a bad deal for consumers.

Blu-ray's competitor, Toshiba, waved the white flag on Tuesday, announcing it would no longer make or sell HD DVD players and recorders. The move followed two months of swiftly eroding studio and retailer support for the technology. Warner Bros. Studios, Netflix, Blockbuster and Wal-Mart all reported that they would phase out HD DVD in favor of Blu-ray.

"It's been clear from the onset that no one wanted two rival formats, except the companies promoting those formats," says Jim Willcox, electronics editor for Consumer Reports. "It was a game of chicken, and Toshiba blinked first."

Ultimately, it's a relief for battle-scarred consumers who are eager to buy a high-definition player without worrying whether the format they choose will become obsolete. However, that doesn't mean you should jump on the Blu-ray bandwagon just yet. A new round of competition and price cuts, as well as the fact that the Blu-ray technology is still evolving means that, for now, it's better to hold off and wait for the technology to mature and prices to be slashed. "You've waited this long, you can wait a little longer," says Willcox.

Here are five reasons why you should wait to buy a Blu-ray:

Hold off on buying Blu-ray for eight months, and you could save as much as 25%, says Brian Cooley, editor at large for electronics review site CNET. Blu-ray supporters such as Sony and Panasonic that once co-promoted the technology, are now competing against one another. That competition should inevitably lead to progressively lower prices on Blu-ray players, recorders and discs, he explains. Expect to see the bulk of price drops to occur just before the 2008 holiday shopping season, when several new players are set to hit the market. The Consumer Electronics Association expects the average price of a high-definition player to drop from a current $395 to $307 in 2008. Blu-ray may have won the high-def DVD format war, but it still faces plenty of (less expensive) challengers.

"The format war took so long that the industry decided to move on," says Rob Enderle, principal analyst with the Enderle Group, a market researcher. "Studios started looking for something else, because neither HD DVD nor Blu-ray was bringing in revenue."

With on-demand Internet download services like Netflix, Amazon.com and Apple gaining momentum, Blu-ray is a hard sell to consumers who are watching their wallets. A 40GB Apple TV box, which streams video from your computer to your television, will set you back $229, roughly 40% less than the least-expensive Blu-ray players. The cost benefit of these services doesn't stop there: A new release high-definition rental on the Apple TV system runs $4.99 for 24 hours, while buying a single new release on Blu-ray disc will set you back about $35.

"We've yet to see and see how the living room vs. PC battle will work out," says Cooley.

1
2
Next

Follow SmartMoney on Facebook, Twitter & More: Facebook Twitter
Bookmark and Share RSS
Order ReprintsOrder Reprints
User Comments
Posted by: SpiderPirate
Doug Fuller is not very bright.
The PS3 can be connected with an HDMI cable making that ONE cable.
Hooking a gaming system to an HDTV does NOT damage the HDTV, it's that some LCD models aren't designed to handle the speed so there's a blur. You go Plasma or an LCD designed for gaming (they state if they're capable or not).
'With HD content streams like fiber optic', this guy doesn't even know what he's talking about. Do some research before commenting, you just sound ignorant to the subject at hand.
Most consumers who've bought a PS3... buy Blu-Ray movies... it's not even an issue of rent vs. buy. Comparing Blu-Ray video to Streaming video has got to be the WORST argument period. Welcome to a one time watch vs owning the film. Streaming video can't hold the capacity of a Blu-Ray disc and who doesn't enjoy a few extras with their movies like deleted scenes, outtakes etc?
Posted by: drkhorse
To continue-----You DO WANT deep blacks, and Plasma is slightly better than LCD. Size is a BIG issue if the TV is under 40' because you probably won't be able to tell the difference between 720p/1080i and 1080p. Most important is VIEWING DISTANCE! You might as well be watching a 480i signal if you are sitting say, 10' from a 32' or 5' from a 50' screen. We aren't able to see the fine detail of HD if we are too far away, and if we are too close we start to see the pixels(screendoor effect). Most articles refer to 2 and 1/2 times the screen size as the proper distance, so a 32' screen would be 6 to 7' and a 50' would be 10-11'. The ONLY 1080p SOURCES right now are Blu-Ray or HD DVD discs, so don't forget their quality. All are 1080p, but not all have equal video quality! For older movies the quality depends on how well the transfer was made to digital HD. Did they do an excellent or only so-so job of cleaning up the original? Read the reviews!
Posted by: doug.fuller
Blu-who Sony. Hooking up a game console to many HDTVs can permanently damage the TV (read the owners manual). A combo game/Blu-ray player has lots of ugly wires and controllers cluttering the media room and wont fit in a cabinet with the other AV equipment.

Who needs it ... wait for FIOS.
Posted by: doug.fuller
Young people that play PS3 games with friends for weeks don't rent games ... they buy. On the other hand, they don't buy movies to watch for 2 hours when they can rent it. Once the players fit out of the way in the home AV cabinet and are priced for consumers, BluRay MAY produce a market.

But by then other HD content streams, like fiber optic, will likely be the better choice. Why bother with a disc that can get damaged or lost (surely I am not the only one that has opened a case to find it empty and have no idea where the disc or tape went).

Could BluRay vs streaming video end up more like the 12-inch VideoDisc vs the combination of video tape and DVD? Never much market penetration and overcome by other technology options. Sorry Sony but you may have created another Betamax in Bluray ... a technology that is great but that has no significant market.
Posted by: iamdmo
I agree the PS3 is the clear market leader for consumers who wish to have the quality of Blu-Ray now with the ability to upgrade as the format continues to progress. It already includes all of the functions and hardware needed for Blu-Ray 2.0. If you don't want to wait PS3 if you could care less just keep downloading those movies until they come out with a good recorder and then you can make your own Blu-Ray movies.
Advertisements